Forecasting Engine 2026 Seat & Applicant Modeling KEA Historical Trajectory
KCET 2026 Expected Cutoff Predictor
Model expected cutoff rank boundaries for 2026 admissions based on official 2025 round-by-round allotments, applicant volume projections, and branch-specific seat matrix expansions.
Round 1 Forecast Initial Phase
Expected Closing Rank
~450
Estimated Range: 410 – 500
2025 Actual (R1): 429
Projected Drift: +4.8% Rank Expansion
Most Critical
Round 2 Forecast Post Seat Surrenders
Expected Closing Rank
~580
Estimated Range: 530 – 640
2025 Actual (R2): 550
Seat Movement: +5.5% Expansion
Round 3 (Mop-Up) Casual Vacancy Round
Expected Closing Rank
~690
Estimated Range: 620 – 780
Mock Round Baseline: 380
Final Mop-up Buffer: +18.0% Over R2
2026 Cutoff Shift Modeling Variables
📈 Total Applicant Volume
Registered candidates expected to increase from ~2.5 Lakh to ~2.65 Lakh (+6%), pushing percentile ranks outward for mid and lower brackets.
💻 AI / Data Science Seats
Autonomous private colleges (BMSCE, MSRIT, PES, RVCE) added new intake in computing streams, buffering CSE cutoffs from aggressive compression.
Board Normalization
Strict 50:50 parity ensures that students with 95%+ in Karnataka PUC or CBSE 12th maintain high composite standing even with modest KCET marks.